How will global warming affect the climate of Siberia?
An international scientific team from Russia and the United States has revealed that the bulk of the Asian region of Russia, by the end of the century, will be habitable for a large number of people, including climate-related migrants.
According to the EurekAlert website, researchers have studied two options for climatic changes, one moderate RCP 2.6 and the other abnormal RCP 8.5. (Representative Concentration Pathway). In addition, they assessed the impact of temperatures in January and July and the amount of annual rainfall in three indicators-the potential of the natural environment, the severity of winter, and the eternal ice.
Researchers found that the average temperature in Siberia in mid-winter would rise by 3.4-9.1 degrees Celsius and in mid-summer by 1.9-5.7 degrees Celsius. The amount of rainfall will increase by 60-140 mm. According to the model RCP 8.5 by 2080, the space of the eternal ice will shrink from 65 to 40%,
According to model RCP 2.6, natural environmental potential will improve by more than 15%.
Natural environmental potential is an indicator that distinguishes the ability to withstand all the conditions necessary for human life.
According to climate experts, climate change will lead to a rise in the number of climate migrants, who will leave their homes in areas that will suffer from drought and other natural disasters. The number may rise to one billion, possibly from China and India, and this will exacerbate the political and social situation in the world. The result of this migration may be the end of human civilization in its present form.